<h1><a href="http://gdb.voanews.com/066DF9CA-4A73-4F63-8180-FF4DFBFBBECD_mw1024_n_s.jpg" rel="ibox" title="中国国民党荣誉主席连战(美国之音张永泰拍摄) " style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration: initial; color: #132fbe;"><img alt="中国国民党荣誉主席连战(美国之音张永泰拍摄) " border="0" src="http://gdb.voanews.com/066DF9CA-4A73-4F63-8180-FF4DFBFBBECD_w640_r1_s.jpg" style="border-style: none; display: block; margin: 10px 0px;" /></a></h1><div style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-size: 15.454545021057129px; clear: both; line-height: 17.99715805053711px; background-color: #ffffff; width: 640px;"><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; color: #666666; line-height: 13px; margin-top: -6px; padding-top: 0px; display: block; padding-bottom: 12px; clear: both;">中国国民党荣誉主席连战(美国之音张永泰拍摄)</span></div><div id="mainMediaBig" style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-size: 15.454545021057129px; line-height: 17.99715805053711px; background-color: #ffffff;"></div><div style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-size: 15.454545021057129px; line-height: 22px; background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 8px; font-size: 15px;"><div style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; color: #969595; padding: 0px 0px 0px 6px; margin: 0px; font-size: 10px; float: right; text-transform: uppercase; line-height: 10px;"><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; float: left; padding-right: 6px; display: block; line-height: 15px;"><br /><br /></span></div><p style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; color: #717070; padding: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.5em; font-size: 11px; line-height: 11px;">华盛顿<span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;"> — 台湾媒体报道，中国国民党荣誉主席连战将于2月24号启程访问北京，25号与中共总书记习近平会面。这是去年中共十八大领导层换届后习近平首度会见台湾人士，习近平的讲话可能反映中共新领导班子对台政策的走向。</span></p><div><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">*习近平将会连战，两岸关系阐述引关注*</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">应中共中央邀请，连战一行20 多人定于24到27号访问北京。除了习近平以外，连战也将于26号和中国国家主席胡锦涛会面。</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">在习近平才接任中共总书记，胡锦涛即将卸任国家主席之前，北京当局安排党、政领导人先后与连战会晤，引起台湾朝野和媒体极大关注，这是自去年中共十八大之后，习近平首度对台湾具代表性政治人物发表重要讲话的场合，他在会谈中如何阐述两岸关系，代表了中共新领导层未来对台政策的发展方向。</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">*卜睿哲：北京要终止台湾实质独立*</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">对于以习近平为首的领导层，在对台政策上是否延续胡锦涛的和平发展基调，两岸关系的前途将如何演变，前美国在台协会主席卜睿哲在他的新书《未知的海峡—中国与台湾关系的未来》中指出，中国对台湾的最终目标，是要以它自己的条件，来终止台湾实质独立的现状。</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">卜睿哲在布鲁金斯学会为他举行的新书发表会上说：“强权并不需要明显地做什么来使弱者屈服。以台湾的例子而言，北京或许认为，台湾现在在经济上已经十分依赖中国大陆，而且它也认为，单是解放军不断增强的军事能力，已经足以确保台湾会在中国设定的条件下屈服。”</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">*台湾内部抗拒政治谈判*</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">卜睿哲说，习近平上任后首要目标是巩固权力，或许他对台湾的真正想法必须等待一段时间后才看得出来，不过胡锦涛在十八大的工作报告已经暗示，台北可能要面对来自北京更多的政治压力。</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">他说：“现在最大的问题是，双方是否可以在经济文化事务以外，开始朝政治安全谈判的方向发展。中国已经广泛暗示说它想要这么做。我个人认为，台湾内部的政治局势仍然是这些提议的最大障碍。”</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">*俞正声：新领导集体要深化两岸和平发展基础*</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">中共对台工作会议2月19号在北京举行，国务院台办主任王毅在会中发表工作报告。政治局常委俞正声在主持会议时指出，做好对台工作“事关国家核心利益和民族根本利益”，新一届中央领导集体将全面贯彻两岸关系和平发展的思想，不断巩固深化两岸政治、经济、文化、社会基础。</span><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><br style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;" /><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; font-size: 11.818181991577148px;">俞正声在指示全体干部做好今年对台工作时强调，要努力“增加两岸政治互信，反对台独分裂图谋”，保持两岸关系发展的正确方向。</span><br /> </div><div> </div></div><div id="ctl00_ctl00_cpAB_cp1_cbcContentBreak" style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-size: 15px;"><div style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 0px 135px; font-size: 15px;"><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;"><span style="font-family: NSimSun, SimSun, PMingLiU, Arial, Helvetica, \’Arial Unicode MS\’, sans-serif;"><br /><br /></span></span></div></div></div>