<p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">力量的對比，從來只是此消彼長的關係。度過一波又一波下台壓力的梁振英，沒有閒下來等任期屆滿，而是「適度有為」，一點一滴地為爭取連任做準備。以他三年來的表現，港人與他的政治死敵，包括泛民和工商派（即當年的「泛唐營」），則大安旨意等待中央代勞更換梁振英。這類不思進取的奴隸心態，將會重蹈四年前的覆轍，當年梁振英意外上台，年半後梁也會意外地得到連任。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">「雨傘革命」對部分港人而言，已是波瀾壯闊、前所未有的抗爭活動，但中共中央看香港，只會放在全國的大格局中考慮，香港的局面，最壞也不過如是，所謂「革命」，垃圾桶也沒燒幾個；打爛幾塊玻璃，弄哭幾個小孩，那些反對派已經惶恐萬分地跳出來劃清界線，主動譴責，香港又會亂到什麼地方去？放到全球的政治中看，香港發生的騷亂更只是小菜一碟。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">下個月便是整場運動發生一周年，並不是時間過得快， 而是泛民的明星與「童星」皆由領導革命者的身份，變回守株待兔等待民主者的固有身份。還有幾天就是人大頒下8．31決定一周年，也是代表泛民爭取民主之路徹底失敗一周年，整個泛民集團對這個一周年噤若寒蟬，別說行動，任何紀念活動也沒有，巴不得港人完全忘記這一事件，只簡單地繼續投票給他們，繼續把希望寄託在他們身上。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">去年今日，泛民慌作一團，還希望有奇蹟出現，中央不會真的落閘卡死政改，從而令泛民炒作了兩年的「佔領中環」不用正式推行。中共結果企硬，泛民三子在添馬公園發起萬人集會，大批後來轉為加入維穩的泛民學者慷慨激昂地發表演說，呼籲港人起來自主命運；他們想不到港人真的會起來，而自己反而轉軚維穩，出來呼籲學生結束佔領返回校園。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">三子與學者一年前的怒吼，說什麼「對話之路已斷，民主之心未死」；還有戴耀廷聲稱全港市民的不合作運動將會一浪接一浪，不會停下來。今天三人幫早就無影無蹤，事態的發展也完全出乎這群天真的知識分子之外。中共還是對「臭老九」的習性非常清楚，中共從來怕的是學生作亂，而不是老師起義。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">梁振英對「起義」一周年的回應，是開始檢控參與事件的學生領袖四人，不遲不早、不多也不少，這是經過計算的。他還有心情作這些計算，顯示他的地位暫時沒有問題，這些秋後算賬的姿態，也宣示他是事件的最終勝利者。身為敗軍之將，不去檢討事件而只知呼朋引類去法庭門外高叫「可恥」，也實在叫不起港人關注的興趣。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">筆者早已為文介紹，自上世紀八十年代以來，亦即人權公約在全世界先後實施之後，因非法集結而要坐監的港人，是一個也沒有，這是為何泛民及「左膠」最喜歡選擇犯這一條罪，而不會效法勇武者如何阻差辦公。這一方面泛民計算精準，但論勇敢就連「愛字頭」的人也不如。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">最嚴重的判刑是黃毓民的3個月緩刑，但也上訴成功改為罰款，所以除了有案底之外，也不用為學生擔憂什麼。這幾個月來判監的皆不是泛民明星人物，而是普通只有參與熱情而不知小心計算的小市民。泛民主流不希望市民不按他們的劇本自行抗爭，所以對這些多年來受他們的民主呼喚終於走上街頭行動的人不單不願鳴謝，而且主動抹黑為暴民，劃清界線，很多市民在欠缺法律支援下，遭到重判。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">泛民不理這些「暴民」，除了欠缺道義之外，也終會自食其果。勇武者退潮後，梁振英有更多的精力對付泛民，而判刑加重一旦成為裁判法院法官的習慣而社會沒有的強力批評，就會成為習慣，警員將更加強硬執法，只會不利靠示威吃飯的泛民及社運者。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">經歷過去一年及大量市民的直接參與，市民還會接受泛民由抬棺材到舉紙牌那類千篇一律的示威模式與永遠「可恥」不離口的抗爭嗎？</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">無疑，由於泛民的冷淡和欠缺事件的刺激，抗爭行動可說平靜了幾個月，以致8．31一周年幾乎給港人遺忘，但再過一個月的9月底，大家還會失憶下去嗎？</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">說到這裏，大家一定以為筆者對香港的前路十分悲觀，正好相反，筆者等待多年從沒有今天的樂觀，中共及梁振英政府集中力量打擊泛民及各有組織的反對力量，成效是清楚的，但也催生民間社會各類直接行動的出現，而在有限的事例中，已經可見專政機器其實無法應付不約而同自發地出現的直接行動，往往還要急急讓步。</span></p><p style="margin-top:0.0000pt; margin-right:0.0000pt; margin-bottom:0.0000pt; margin-left:0.0000pt; text-indent:0.0000pt; padding:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt ; layout-grid-mode:char; text-autospace:ideograph-numeric; text-justify:inter-ideograph; "> </p><p><span style="font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; background: #ffffff;">一波的沒落，只會代表另一波的興起，社會矛盾未有得到解決之前，本土派的興起與直接行動的出現，只會更為有利，大家只在等待機會罷了。例如區議會選舉對泛民和建制都是爭取擴大勢力地盤的遊戲，對本土派和勇武者而言，則是利用機會宣傳「革命」訊息的極好時刻，根本就不是以勝敗為念，亦所以選舉過程所展示的，將會是反傳統和出人意表之極的。</span></p>