<div id="storytop" style="max-width: 622px; width: 620px; border-top: 1px solid #dfdfdf; border-bottom: 1px solid #dfdfdf; padding-top: 3px; padding-bottom: 1px; font-size: 10px; color: #666666; box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 20px; font-family: SimSun; background-color: #ffffff;"></div><div style="float: left; margin-left: 3px; width: 622px; box-shadow: rgba(50, 50, 50, 0.298039) -1px 0px 5px, rgba(50, 50, 50, 0.298039) 1px 0px 5px; padding: 10px 15px; box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 15px; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 18.6667px; background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="color: #003366; clear: both; margin: 0px;"><div><div classname="audiojs" id="audiojs_wrapper0" style="width: calc(100% – 92px); height: 36px; float: left; font-family: monospace;"><div style="width: 25px; height: 25px; padding: 4px 6px; margin: 0px; float: left; overflow: hidden;"><div><p style="width: 25px; height: 40px; cursor: pointer; padding: 0px; line-height: 28px; background: url("http://www.rfa.org/rfa_resources/js/player-graphics.gif") -9px -3px no-repeat;"></p></div></div><div style="background: #ebebeb; position: relative; float: left; width: calc(70% – 40px); height: 14px; margin: 10px; overflow: hidden;"><div style="position: absolute; top: 0px; left: 0px; height: 14px; width: 0px; background: #2f50a2; z-index: 1;"></div><div style="position: absolute; top: 0px; left: 0px; height: 14px; width: 310px; background: #acacac;"></div></div><div style="width: 40px; float: left; margin: 5px 0px 0px 6px; padding: 0px 6px 0px 12px; color: #2f50a2; line-height: 25px !important;"><span style="padding: 0px 2px 0px 0px;"></span></div><div><span style="padding: 0px 2px 0px 0px;">00:00</span>/<span style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 2px;">00:00</span></div></div></div><span style="float: right; vertical-align: middle; padding: 0px; margin: 0px;"><a href="http://www.rfa.org/mandarin/zhuanlan/zhongguotoushi/m1016panel-10172016105817.html/m1016panel.mp3" style="color: #333333; text-decoration: none !important;"><img src="http://www.rfa.org/rfa_resources/graphics/icon-listen.png" title="收听节目" alt="收听节目" style="border-width: initial; border-style: none;" /> </a><a href="http://www.rfa.org/mandarin/zhuanlan/zhongguotoushi/m1016panel-10172016105817.html/m1016panel.mp3/download.html" style="color: #333333; text-decoration: none !important;"><img src="http://www.rfa.org/rfa_resources/graphics/icon-download.png" title="下载声音" alt="下载声音" style="border-width: initial; border-style: none;" /></a></span></div></div><div id="storytext" style="font-size: 14px; color: #333333; font-family: SimSun; background-color: #ffffff;"><div><div></div></div><p style="margin-bottom: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 14px;"> </p><div> </div><div> </div><div> </div><div><em>点击上图可听音频 </em></div><div><em> </em></div><div> </div><div> </div><div> </div><div> <img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2016/Oct/10172016ColdWar.jpeg" width="622" height="414" alt="" /></div><div> </div><div></div><div> </div><div>主持人：陈奎德<br />座谈人：王康先生，中国独立学人 <br /><br /><br />一、老冤家的抱团取暖<br /><br />中俄近年来的联手：文与武——联合国安理会共进退与联合军演<br />美国的“亚洲再平衡”政策：战略目标与现状<br />南海纷争， 东海纷争<br />北韩核问题<br />乌克兰-克里米亚问题，马航MH17被击落桉<br />台海两岸关係问题<br /><br /><br />二、隐然成型的新冷战格局<br /><br />只做不说的战略应对<br />亚太“小北约”的逐渐成型<br />日本的“修宪”问题<br />北京的应对——从韬光养晦到剑拔弩张及撒币外交<br />与旧冷战的相似与相异处：关于意识形态，关于地缘政治， 关于国家战略定位<br />双方各自的显在与潜在盟友<br />各怀鬼胎的中俄“非神圣同盟”<br />中国的重新共产化<br /><br /><br />三、冷战或和平，取决于中俄之一念<br /><br />人类命运的凶险一战<br />中国仍有回归正常国家的机会<br />自助者天助</div><div> </div><div> </div></div>