英媒:人民币国际化——大潮回落

<div style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><div id="comp-pattern-library" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative;"><div style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; position: absolute; right: 0px; top: -44px;"><form method="get" action="http://www.bbc.co.uk/modules/share/page" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; 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color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-style: inherit; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; border: 0px !important; padding: 0px !important; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">Image caption</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;"><em>人民币在2016年10月被纳入国际货币基金组织特别提款权篮子</em></span></figcaption></figure><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 28px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">《金融时报》周一(12月12日)刊登长篇报道,分析中国在人民币国际化道路上的新动向,认为人民币国际化进程正在退步。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">《金融时报》从2015年说起,英国前首相卡梅伦欢迎来访的中国国家主席习近平时,中国人民银行宣布在伦敦发行人民币主权国债。今年10月,人民币被纳入国际货币基金组织特别提款权一份子。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">该报分析认为,早在国际货币基金组织这一决定生效之前,就有迹象显示,纳入特别提款权篮子仅仅是人民币国际化的高潮,而不是一个新的更加多元化全球货币体系的开端。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">报道认为,很多迹象显示,人民币全球化的努力程度在放慢,甚至在后退。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">文章分析了中国经济面临的诸多压力:一方面是特朗普当选后美元是13年来的最高水平,另一方面是中国经济放缓导致资金外流。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">报道引述分析人士指出,中国的货币政策制定者已经看到,维护货币稳定与成为国际货币的条件&#8212;&#8212;允许货币自由浮动两者之间是矛盾的。现在既然代价很明显,中国货币决策者们可能意识到,他们并不愿意承受成为国际货币的代价。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">报道称,过去一年,中国以人民币结算的外贸额从26%下降到16%。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">文章最后预计,中国可能还是会继续"混合"策略。中国外汇管理局上周表示,将继续鼓励有利于国家经济转型的外向型投资,同时对在海外收购房地产、酒店、好莱坞制片厂和运动队等将实行更加严格的审查。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">经济学家们认为,人民币国际化的最终命运依赖中国的深远经济改革,而不是短期对资金外流增加的反应。而深远经济改革包括应对债务上涨的策略、重组国企僵尸企业、以及为银行业重新注资。</p></div>