改革开放40年:邓小平究竟给今日中国留下什么

<p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 28px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">1979年1月,邓小平的车队行驶在华盛顿街道上。两边人群产生奇妙分野&#8212;&#8212;一边抗议者挥舞着台湾&#8220;青天白日满地红&#8221;旗;另一边抗议者则是狂热的美国左派,他们认为邓背叛了毛泽东的革命。甚至在白宫草坪的欢迎仪式上,有两人因高喊&#8220;毛主席万岁&#8221;,而被强行带离。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">势成水火的两股势力都在反对邓小平,反对的理由却又显得十分充足&#8212;&#8212;邓访美一个月前,台北熟睡中的蒋经国,被大洋彼岸电话吵醒,得知美台断交;此前不久的北京,邓掀起关于真理检验标准的大讨论,被毛泽东的支持者斥责在&#8220;砍旗&#8221;、&#8220;违反中央精神和反对毛泽东思想&#8221;。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">此后18年,更多矛盾在邓小平身上持续呈现。他反对&#8220;两个凡是&#8221;,努力使文革后的中国走出毛泽东的阴影;但却又极力避免成为&#8220;第二个赫鲁晓夫&#8221;,力排众议在官方文件中给予毛泽东积极的历史评价。邓小平是政治斗争中改革派最有利的支持者,甚至是培育者;但面对诉求民主的学生,他却下命令&#8220;采取一切手段&#8221;恢复秩序。邓小平主张&#8220;摸着石头过河&#8221;,务实推进经济改革,塑造此后几十年的改革方法论;但他也曾强行推&#8220;物价闯关&#8221;,导致全民抢购潮,诱发通货膨胀。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">改革之路,矛盾丛生,也让各方对邓的评价不尽相同。中国官方语境将他形容为&#8220;改革开放的总设计师&#8221;,一手缔造今日经济奇迹;哈佛大学教授、《邓小平时代》作者傅高义认为,改革开放并没有清晰、完整、现成的设计图纸,不如说,邓小平全面领导转型过程的总经理;哈佛大学教授麦克法夸尔则认为,&#8220;总设计师&#8221;应该是赵紫阳,邓更像是改革的&#8220;教父&#8221;,他临阵督战,抵挡四面八方的反对者;曾出版赵紫阳回忆录的鲍朴更认同台湾学者钟延麟的观点,认为邓小平实则是毛泽东的&#8220;副帅&#8221;,并得出&#8220;主事在毛,成事在邓&#8221;的结论。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">哪个历史评价更公允,需要时间的持续检验。但在中国改革开放40周年之际,我们能做的是重新观察他在关键时刻的决策细节;或许更为重要的是,在另一个政治强人习近平主政的当下中国,邓小平的改革遗产是如何被扬弃的。</p><ul style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 18px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; list-style: none; background-color: #ffffff;"><li style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline; list-style: square outside;"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-45990783" style="border-width: 0px 0px 1px; border-top-style: initial; border-right-style: initial; border-bottom-style: solid; border-left-style: initial; border-top-color: initial; border-right-color: initial; border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-left-color: initial; border-image: initial; color: #222222; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);">观点:习近平考察广东后面临抉择</a></li><li style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline; list-style: square outside;"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/business-41769018" style="border-width: 0px 0px 1px; border-top-style: initial; border-right-style: initial; border-bottom-style: solid; border-left-style: initial; border-top-color: initial; border-right-color: initial; border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-left-color: initial; border-image: initial; color: #222222; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);">新时代新领袖:习近平和邓小平可有一比?</a></li></ul><figure style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6484px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111; clear: both;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/1722A/production/_104726749_gettyimages-587488264-1.jpg" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/1722A/production/_104726749_gettyimages-587488264-1.jpg" alt="邓小平" width="976" height="549" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: #bdbdbd; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.211px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in; display: block;" /><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">图片版权</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.875rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.14286; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 8px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); bottom: 0px; position: absolute; right: 0px;">GETTY IMAGES</span></span><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">Image caption</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;">1979年1月,邓小平访美时接过牛仔递过的帽子并戴上,成为开启中美关系的标志性举动。</span></figcaption></figure><h2>&#8220;西单民主墙&#8221;与六四事件&#8212;&#8212;自由的尺度</h2><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">1978年,入冬后,中国北方万物冰冻,而思想的解冻却在江湖和庙堂两个层面,同时发生。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">庙堂之上,11月召开中央工作会,原本议题是农业及之后两年国家发展计划。会议刚开两天,政治气氛迅速改变。与会的210名高层干部,纷纷发言对华国锋的&#8220;两个凡是&#8221;和对&#8220;四五&#8221;事件定性表达不满。舆论汹涌,以至于叶剑英劝华国锋顺势改变。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">这次气氛的转折,为刚刚复出的邓小平执掌政权提供条件。傅高义引述党内老领导评价,&#8220;就像遵义会议是毛泽东成为党主席的转折点一样,这次工作会议是邓小平崛起的一次决定性事件。&#8221;</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">江湖之中,也发生着微妙而剧烈的变化。工作会开始后出版的《中国青年》杂志,登载&#8220;四五&#8221;运动中天安门诗抄,还批评对毛泽东的迷信为&#8220;现代迷信&#8221;。时任副主席汪东兴气急败坏地叫停发行,却被人一页一页地贴上天安门西边几百米的灰砖墙上。由此一发不可收拾,诉求民主、批评毛泽东和文革的大字报,雨后春笋般出现在&#8220;西单墙&#8221;上。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6484px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; clear: both; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/DF18/production/_104721175_gettyimages-515575018.jpg" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/DF18/production/_104721175_gettyimages-515575018.jpg" alt="邓小平" width="976" height="549" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.211px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in; display: block;" /><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">图片版权</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.875rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.14286; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 8px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); bottom: 0px; position: absolute; right: 0px;">GETTY IMAGES</span></span></figure><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">&#8220;西单墙&#8221;恰为我们提供一个对于邓小平心中自由尺度的绝佳观察点。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">政治气氛转向,民间与高层相呼应,一度为邓小平所乐见。11月28日,邓在回见日本民社党党魁佐佐木良作时称,&#8220;写大字报是我国宪法允许的。我没有权利否定或批判群众发扬民主、贴大字报。&#8221;他还进一步反问,&#8220;允许群众表达自己的观点,这有什么错?&#8221;</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">一个月后,大字报的形式已无法满足民众的表达欲。时任新华社记者杨继绳记述,12月28日,有人在西单墙演讲,认为光争取民主、自由还不够,最根本是要改变国家的政治制度,数千听众堵塞交通,人群遂向天安门转移,边走边高喊&#8220;要民主,不要专制&#8221;&#8220;让思想冲破牢笼子&#8221;的口号。3月25日,北京动物园职工魏京生贴出《要民主还是要新的独裁》一文,直接点明邓小平&#8220;走的是独裁路线&#8221;。三天后,北京市政府发布禁令,第四天即逮捕魏京生。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">傅高义猜测,&#8220;西单墙&#8221;曾为邓的政治理想提供燃料,因而被他容纳,甚至鼓励。随着言论触及中共领导的根本制度,他断然压制。一位前省委书记评价,邓小平对民主的看法就像&#8220;叶公好龙&#8221;一样,如果龙真的出现,他就害怕了。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6484px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111; clear: both;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/C5E0/production/_101865605_hi021999435.jpg" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/C5E0/production/_101865605_hi021999435.jpg" alt="1989年6月2日的天安门广场" width="976" height="549" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: #bdbdbd; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.211px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in; display: block;" /><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">图片版权</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.875rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.14286; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 8px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); bottom: 0px; position: absolute; right: 0px;">AFP</span></span><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">Image caption</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;">1989年6月2日的天安门广场,远处为中央美院学生四天赶制的民主女神像,5月30日被正式立于天安门广场。</span></figcaption></figure><ul style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 18px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; list-style: none; background-color: #ffffff;"><li style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline; list-style: square outside;"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-38468353" style="border-width: 0px 0px 1px; border-top-style: initial; border-right-style: initial; border-bottom-style: solid; border-left-style: initial; border-top-color: initial; border-right-color: initial; border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-left-color: initial; border-image: initial; color: #222222; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);">档案:邓小平曾说200人死可换20年稳定</a></li></ul><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">在改革开放的第一时间,民间思想的一次喷发就这样骤然遇冷。邓小平意识到政治言论需要红线。魏京生被捕后一天,邓小平发表讲话,确立四项基本原则,即必须坚持社会主义道路,必须坚持无产阶级专政,必须坚持共产党的领导,以及必须坚持马列主义、毛泽东思想。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">四项基本原则为之后四十年的言论管制划定&#8220;红线&#8221;,乃至今时今日,还在影响中国。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">毛泽东去世后第一次来自民间的思想解放与反思,激烈喷薄,却心有余悸地快速收缩。这一蛰伏就是十年,再次爆发已是1989年的春天&#8212;&#8212;彼时,数以万计的学生带着更强烈的民主诉求,再一次触及四项基本原则,邓决定用武力一劳永逸地结束运动,维护政府权威。他的女儿邓林曾说,不管邓小平受到多少批评,他从未怀疑过自己作出的决定是正确的。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">鲍朴向BBC中文表示,由此可知邓小平在政治上延用毛泽东的制度和思想方法,他在1989年对待学运的态度,与1956年波匈事件时中国态度相同,当时苏共还未考虑派兵镇压时,中共已经建议派兵。所以说邓与毛在政治上是一贯的,即用无产阶级专政,用权力达成社会共识,把异议消灭掉,这个没有变化。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">或许比外界更能一窥邓小平内心的,是他早年的一份课堂作业。1926年8月12日在莫斯科中山大学学习的邓小平只有21岁,他在作业中写道,&#8220;集中的权利要自上而下地行使。服从上级命令是绝对必要的。允许多少民主,要视周围的情况而定。&#8221;</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6484px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111; clear: both;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/1240A/production/_104726747_gettyimages-966110584.jpg" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/1240A/production/_104726747_gettyimages-966110584.jpg" alt="邓小平" width="976" height="549" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: #bdbdbd; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.211px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in; display: block;" /><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">图片版权</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.875rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.14286; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 8px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); bottom: 0px; position: absolute; right: 0px;">GETTY IMAGES</span></span><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">Image caption</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;">1990年,邓小平力促上海开发浦东新区,时任上海市长朱镕基之后任副总理和总理。当时,&#8220;八十年代看深圳,九十年代看浦东&#8221;成为流行语。</span></figcaption></figure><h2>计划经济还是市场经济&#8212;&#8212;理念的博弈</h2><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">无论在官方语境,还是舆论印象中,邓小平与中国的经济成就紧紧绑在一起。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">改革开放初,中国就展现出不俗的经济潜力。1982年国内生产总值达到9.1%,1983年达10.9%。因此到访中国的外宾,常对邓发展经济的能力表达赞叹。而曾任邓小平翻译的张维为在其视频节目中引述,邓在听到这样的夸奖时,往往会说,&#8220;在经济问题上,其实我是个外行,即使我讲一些话,也是从政治的角度讲的。中国经济的改革开放是我提出的,但如何搞改革开放,一些细节,一些需要考虑的具体问题,我懂得并不很多,我总是从政治角度谈经济的。&#8221;</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">鲍朴向BBC中文解释,邓小平和习近平执政的环境很不同,没有人可与习在政治上匹敌,但邓当政时一直被陈云等老干部制衡着,做事情必须和&#8220;老人&#8221;们商量。邓的功绩是改掉毛时代的经济政策,不过具体他也不知道怎么改,因此哈佛大学教授麦克法夸尔看完赵紫阳的回忆录后作序表示,赵紫阳才是中国改革开放的设计师,邓小平则是&#8220;教父&#8221;,就是在争论不休时拍板之人,从这个角度,他对中国的影响当然很大。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">&#8220;改革教父&#8221;的称谓确实有迹可循,邓小平早期提出的发展目标以及&#8220;物价闯关&#8221;等决策并不符合经济规律。然而,这并不意味着&#8220;从政治角度谈经济&#8221;的邓小平没有功劳。恰恰相反,政治和意识形态上的阻碍,才是彼时中国经济改革最大的桎梏。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6484px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111; clear: both;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/3D92/production/_104726751_gettyimages-52017902.jpg" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/3D92/production/_104726751_gettyimages-52017902.jpg" alt="邓小平与赵紫阳" width="976" height="549" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: #bdbdbd; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.211px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in; display: block;" /><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">图片版权</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.875rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.14286; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 8px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); bottom: 0px; position: absolute; right: 0px;">GETTY IMAGES</span></span><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">Image caption</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;">邓被认为是改革&#8220;教父&#8221;,而赵紫阳(右)为改革主将,但他因在&#8220;六四&#8221;中同情学生,反对武力镇压而被迫下台。</span></figcaption></figure><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">改革开放之初面临的第一个问题,是如何评价毛泽东。华国锋提出&#8220;两个凡是&#8221;(凡是毛主席作出的决策,我们都坚决维护;凡是毛主席的指示,我们都始终不渝地遵循),邓小平、陈云等老干部群起而攻之,这种主张被快速否定和边缘化。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">这一仗后,胜利者们形成&#8220;以经济建设为中心&#8221;的共识,但如何建设经济,又将彼时中国政坛一分为二&#8212;&#8212;一边是以邓小平为首,主张市场经济的&#8220;改革派&#8221;;另一边是以陈云为首,主张计划经济的&#8220;保守派&#8221;。傅高义将其称之为&#8220;一山二虎&#8221;;杨继绳则称其为&#8220;双峰政治&#8221;;赵紫阳在《改革历程》中也确认,在改革开放和经济建设方面,邓小平和陈云自始至终持两种不同的主张。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">整个80年代,不同经济主张的互相博弈,频密展开&#8212;&#8212;首先是经济增长目标的分歧,改革派认为目标要高一些,以实现2000年翻两番,保守派认为目标过高,会导致混乱,分歧之大,以至于1981年全国人大既没有通过年度预算,也没有明确&#8220;六五&#8221;计划的增长目标;1983年,保守派公开批评&#8220;指导性计划&#8221;,捍卫&#8220;指令性计划&#8221;;1984年,邓小平视察并肯定深圳的建设,并将开放扩大到14个城市;1985年,陈云则利用数据上的财政赤字和通胀,把快步前进的改革派拉了回来,并提出&#8220;社会主义经济,还是要有计划按比例&#8221;;1987年,邓小平直接否定陈云的主张,在讲话中称&#8220;(过去)讲以计划经济为主,现在不要再讲这个了&#8221;;1988年,邓决定取消大量价格管制,然而他错误估计形势,致使物价过快上涨,引发恐慌性抢购,政策被快速叫停,经济决策权也从改革派的赵紫阳手上,交到支持陈云紧缩政策的李鹏手上。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6484px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111; clear: both;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/8BB2/production/_104726753_gettyimages-51350810.jpg" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/8BB2/production/_104726753_gettyimages-51350810.jpg" alt="邓小平与家人" width="976" height="549" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: #bdbdbd; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.211px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in; display: block;" /><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">图片版权</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.875rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.14286; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 8px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); bottom: 0px; position: absolute; right: 0px;">GETTY IMAGES</span></span><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">Image caption</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;">1992年邓小平南巡,通过一系列讲话和表态,迫使江泽民公开支持邓小平的改革开放政策。</span></figcaption></figure><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">经济路线的博弈一直持续到邓小平政治生涯的最终章。1992年,邓小平南巡中一边参观一边表态,走到珠海召开了一个由两位军委副主席参加的军事会议,会议上,邓却没谈军事,强调&#8220;谁不改革,谁就下台&#8221;。傅高义在其著作中称,&#8220;出席会议的军队领导人的强大阵容表明,如有必要,军队高层愿意拥护一个新的领导人&#8221;。江泽民感受到这股压力,五天后,他给邓小平打电话拜年,并在其后成为坚定的改革派。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">邓小平的南巡讲话在舆论中也得到普遍拥护,直至随后的中共十四大,才正式确立了建立社会主义市场经济的目标,改革派与保守派的经济路线之争才落下帷幕,此时距改革开放开始已经过去14年。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">杨继绳形容,此后,一方面大力推进市场经济,一方面强化中共领导,由邓小平奠定的&#8220;威权政治加市场经济&#8221;的模式,贯穿整个江泽民和胡锦涛执政时期。这也成为邓小平对中国经济改革的最显的影响。</p><h2>两次政改与遗产的扬弃&#8212;&#8212;失败的尝试</h2><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">或许很多人并不知晓,改革开放之初,对中共统治状况最严厉的批评之一来自邓小平&#8212;&#8212;1980年8月18日中央政治局扩大会议上邓发表《党和国家领导制度的改革》讲话,指出党内存在政治弊端,比如滥用权力、脱离实际、脱离群众、思想僵化、墨守成规、不负责任、压制民主、贪赃枉法。讲话内容虽未到改变中共执政地位的地步,但对民主表达积极评价。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">正是这篇措辞严厉的讲话把政治改革的想法带入中国政坛。不过,邓讲话的同时发生波兰团结工会事件,其他党内高层由于担心像波兰一样失控,10月中宣部就指示不要再讨论邓的上述讲话。12月,邓小平自己也回调口径,称政治改革要慎重。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">高调的讲话就此沉寂。改革开放伊始发端的政治改革意识,刚露出苗头,就被迅速掐灭。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6484px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111; clear: both;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/BECE/production/_100364884_hi045470019.jpg" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/BECE/production/_100364884_hi045470019.jpg" alt="XI JINPING" width="976" height="549" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: #bdbdbd; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.211px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in; display: block;" /><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">图片版权</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.875rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.14286; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 8px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); bottom: 0px; position: absolute; right: 0px;">GETTY IMAGES</span></span><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">Image caption</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;">2018年3月11日中国人大以2958票赞成、2票反对、3票弃权、1张无效票,通过修宪草案,删除国家正副主席连任不得超过两届的规定。</span></figcaption></figure><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">然而这并非邓小平时代唯一一次政治改革尝试。1986年,由于经济改革推动,政治改革再次被提上日程,邓小平称,&#8220;政治体制改革同经济体制改革应该相互依赖,相互配合。只搞经济体制改革,不搞政治体制改革,经济体制改革也搞不通,因为首先遇到人的障碍。&#8221;</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">3个月后,赵紫阳根据邓的指示,成立中央政治体制改革研讨小组。加拿大维多利亚大学教授吴国光,彼时为《人民日报》评论部主任编辑,被选入该小组。在吴国光关于中国政治改革的论文中,他指出邓小平与赵紫阳对政治改革的根本不同&#8212;&#8212;前者希望通过高度积极的人员提高管理效率,后者则想更大范围地减少党在经济和社会单位中的作用。政治改革再次被提及时,意涵已经不再相同,更像是一场行政改革。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">即便如此,这次政改还在讨论阶段,就先后遭遇&#8220;物价闯关&#8221;和&#8220;六四&#8221;,因而中断。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">邓小平时代的政治改革并非全无建树。首先是设置任期制,在1980年8月的讲话后不久,他向意大利记者法拉奇表示,过去实际上存在领导职务终身制,制度缺陷在60年代还看不出来,&#8220;那是我们还年轻&#8221;。以此为铺垫,1982年,172名&#8220;老干部&#8221;卸任,保留级别和待遇加入由邓当主任的中顾委,邓还宣布,中顾委只会存在十到十五年,通过这种方式集中卸掉老干部的权力。也是这一年,新修订的宪法规定国家主席和副主席&#8220;连续任职不得超过两届&#8221;。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">邓掌权期间还多次强调和推动&#8220;党政分开&#8221;。在接受BBC中文采访时,吴国光回忆,当时邓小平的思路是党委书记就是甩手掌柜,就像是一个现代公司,党委书记是董事长,政府是CEO,最后的决定权是在党手里,但日常事务由政府去管。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">不难观察到,在习近平第二个任期开始,邓的政治改革遗产接连面临挑战。一方面,通过修宪,消除国家主席任期。另一方面,&#8220;党政一体化&#8221;的改革意图在中共十九大上浮现。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">这些变化使中国自由派人士失望,进而产生了习近平不再延续邓小平的改革开放,而是向毛泽东更加靠拢的想法。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6484px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111; clear: both;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/D9D2/production/_104726755_gettyimages-454232462-1.jpg" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/D9D2/production/_104726755_gettyimages-454232462-1.jpg" alt="邓小平像" width="976" height="549" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: #bdbdbd; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.211px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in; display: block;" /><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">图片版权</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.875rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.14286; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 8px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); bottom: 0px; position: absolute; right: 0px;">GETTY IMAGES</span></span><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"><span style="border: 0px !important; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px !important; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); overflow: hidden; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">Image caption</span><span style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;">位于深圳的邓小平塑像</span></figcaption></figure><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">傅高义向BBC中文表示,&#8220;他(习近平)基本上延续了邓的政策。因为他在上台后立即去深圳访问了邓的雕塑,还依然延续了邓当年的对于外部世界的开放,他依然允许私营企业的存在,依然与外部世界保持着广泛的联系,而且也参与国际事务中。他还基本在政治制度的框架内运作。虽然他还在使用年轻时在文革中学到的毛泽东式语言,但或许是想留住那些偏爱毛泽东的人的支持。不过,他的政策与邓小平在1978年推行的一系列发展政策的主线保持一致。&#8221;</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">吴国光则认为,如果说中国共产党是一家股份公司,那么毛泽东通过中共七大巩固了权力、控股了,到了发动文革,毛要把中国共产党变成&#8220;毛记公司&#8221;。他判断,习近平也要走这条路。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">鲍朴表示,邓小平错过了一个绝佳的政治改革契机,在毛死之后的十年,经过一系列的改革和发展,中国人重新相信这个党至少是向好的方向发展,未来会给中国人更多的自由,但是&#8220;六四&#8221;结束了这个梦想,现在的希望越来越小,这种僵局是邓小平造成的。而想要通过市场经济发展缓和,是不可能的。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">值得一提的是,习近平执政后,毛泽东生前秘书李锐在《炎黄春秋》上发表《我为何提议重发邓小平&#8220;8&#183;18 讲话&#8221;》一文,再次提到1980年邓小平那篇措辞激烈的讲话&#8212;&#8212;比如权力过分集中,&#8220;什么事都要第一书记挂帅、拍板&#8221;;家长制作风,&#8220;一言堂、个人决定重大问题、个人崇拜、个人凌驾于组织之上&#8221;。李锐称讲话内容依然有现实意义,并表示肃清封建专制主义最有效的手段,是政治民主。</p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;">李锐试图通过邓小平的政治改革遗产发出声音,然而并未像邓小平时代一样,掀起更多、范围更大的讨论。相反,《炎黄春秋》在此后一年迎来当局力度空前的打压。</p>