<p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 28px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">11月14日，中国国家主席习近平在巴西利亚出席金砖国家领导人会晤时，就香港局势表明立场。他说，“止暴制乱、恢复秩序是香港当前最紧迫的任务”。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">这是香港抗议运动持续5个月以来，习近平首次公开就香港局势表态。11月4日，习近平在上海出席第二届中国国际进口博览会期间，会见香港特首林郑月娥，并表示支持特区政府。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">对比两次措辞，习近平对“止暴制乱、恢复秩序”的措辞，从“最重要的任务”变成了“最紧迫的任务”。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">分析认为，习近平本次表态是进一步明确态度，表明中央政府不会对香港放手不管，并试图警示国际社会，会以强硬手段控制局面。</p><figure style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clear: both; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: -4.16%; margin-top: 24px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline;"> <img width="976" height="549" style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; max-width: 100%; -ms-user-select: none; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; transition-delay: 0s; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: opacity; transition-timing-function: ease-in; vertical-align: baseline; width: 100%;" alt="香港示威" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/B5E7/production/_109676564_gettyimages-1182101805.jpg" data-highest-encountered-width="624" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/B5E7/production/_109676564_gettyimages-1182101805.jpg" /> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: 1px; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: absolute; vertical-align: baseline; width: 1px;">图片版权</span> <span style="background-attachment: scroll; background-clip: border-box; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); background-image: none; background-origin: padding-box; background-position-x: 0%; background-position-y: 0%; background-repeat: repeat; background-size: auto; border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; bottom: 0px; color: #ececec; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.87rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.1428; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 1px; padding-left: 8px; padding-right: 8px; padding-top: 3px; position: absolute; right: 0px; text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: baseline;">Getty Images</span> </span> </figure><ul style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: none; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-50321598">中港领导人连串“稳定军心”会面的背后</a></li> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-50402308">香港示威：中文大学成首个发生大规模冲突的校园“战场”，宣布提前放假</a></li> </ul><h2>习近平说了什么？</h2><div style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: auto; margin-right: 8.33%; margin-top: 0px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;" property="articleBody"><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">习近平这次的表态提出三个“严重”、三个“坚定支持”和三个“决心坚定不移”。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">习近平指出，香港持续发生的激进暴力犯罪行为，严重践踏法治和社会秩序，严重破坏香港繁荣稳定，严重挑战“一国两制”原则底线。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">他还说，中央政府将继续坚定支持行政长官带领特区政府依法施政，坚定支持香港警方严正执法，坚定支持香港司法机构依法惩治暴力犯罪分子。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">对于如何应对局势，习近平说，中国政府维护国家主权、安全、发展利益的决心坚定不移，贯彻“一国两制”方针的决心坚定不移，反对任何外部势力干涉香港事务的决心坚定不移。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">习近平强调，“止暴制乱、恢复秩序是香港当前最紧迫的任务。”</p><figure style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clear: both; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: -4.16%; margin-top: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline;"> <img width="976" height="549" style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; max-width: 100%; -ms-user-select: none; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; transition-delay: 0s; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: opacity; transition-timing-function: ease-in; vertical-align: baseline; width: 100%;" alt="香港示威" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/1754F/production/_109676559_gettyimages-1182430583.jpg" data-highest-encountered-width="624" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/1754F/production/_109676559_gettyimages-1182430583.jpg" /> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: 1px; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: absolute; vertical-align: baseline; width: 1px;">图片版权</span> <span style="background-attachment: scroll; background-clip: border-box; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); background-image: none; background-origin: padding-box; background-position-x: 0%; background-position-y: 0%; background-repeat: repeat; background-size: auto; border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; bottom: 0px; color: #ececec; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.87rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.1428; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 1px; padding-left: 8px; padding-right: 8px; padding-top: 3px; position: absolute; right: 0px; text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: baseline;">Getty Images</span> </span> </figure><h2>镇压态度有何转变</h2><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">在海外的独立学者胡平对BBC中文说，习近平的措辞变化表明，中央政府对如何处理香港局势的手段“更加明确”，姿态“更加强硬”。他认为，中央政府将在“短期内以更严厉的措施”控制局面。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">本周，有香港市民发起罢课、罢工、罢市行动，有示威者试图在马路上放置砖头等物品，阻碍交通。大规模冲突延伸至大学校园，随后全港学校停课。另有示威者在沙田裁判法院纵火外纵火。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">不过，胡平认为，目前来看，中央政府还是会尽力借助香港本地警队的力量处理街头暴力。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">5个月抗议运动以来，已有多名示威者在冲突中受伤。11月11日，一名警员向示威者开实弹枪，造成一人情况危殆。但胡平说，中央认为，香港警队还没有把镇压功能发挥到最大限度，比如并未对准人的身体致命位置开枪。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">他引用中央政法委近期在其微信公众号上发表的评论，“此时不开枪，要枪何用？”</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">对于是否将出动解放军处理乱局，胡平认为暂时不会。他说，考虑到本月香港将举行区议会选举，如果采取特别残暴的镇压手法，将导致民众将票投给民主派候选人。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">“尽管区议会选举的政治层级较低、重要性不高，但仍会令当局被动”，胡平说。</p><figure style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clear: both; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: -4.16%; margin-top: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline;"> <img width="976" height="549" style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; max-width: 100%; -ms-user-select: none; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; transition-delay: 0s; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: opacity; transition-timing-function: ease-in; vertical-align: baseline; width: 100%;" alt="中美两国国旗" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/40B7/production/_109676561_gettyimages-1058471374.jpg" data-highest-encountered-width="624" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/40B7/production/_109676561_gettyimages-1058471374.jpg" /> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: 1px; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: absolute; vertical-align: baseline; width: 1px;">图片版权</span> <span style="background-attachment: scroll; background-clip: border-box; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); background-image: none; background-origin: padding-box; background-position-x: 0%; background-position-y: 0%; background-repeat: repeat; background-size: auto; border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; bottom: 0px; color: #ececec; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.87rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.1428; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 1px; padding-left: 8px; padding-right: 8px; padding-top: 3px; position: absolute; right: 0px; text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: baseline;">Getty Images</span> </span> </figure><h2>如何针对国际社会</h2><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">中国官方媒体《环球时报》英文版引述南开大学法学院副教授李晓兵称，习近平此次在金砖国家会晤时表态，是为了告知其他国家，香港事务是有关中国主权的核心考虑，希望获得其他国家的理解和支持。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">李晓兵说，“习近平的讲话明显是针对国际社会，以获得其他国家的理解，并向那些煽动紧张形势的外部势力示以警告。”</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">他还说，中央政府将对香港局势采取坚定态度和实际措施。“不论外部势力有何政治企图，不论他们想在香港造成怎样的混乱，这些势力终将灭亡。”</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">几乎与习近平表态同时间，美国国会联邦参议院罕见地启动了“热线”（hotline）机制，预计将加速通过《香港人权及民主法案》。该法案赋予美国制裁打压香港基本自由和人权等行为的法律基础。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">胡平认为，中共尚在“通过港府在勇武派面前投鼠忌器”。其背后是权衡利弊，希望制衡美国通过《香港人权及民主法案》的进程。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">不过，他说，此次习近平强势表态也是为了警示美国，即使通过法案，其制衡中国的“实际效果有限”。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">“如果混乱的情况到了不可忍受的程度，当局可能不顾失去香港独立关税地位的风险，依然采取镇压行动。”</p> </div><span style="display: inline !important; float: none; background-color: #ffffff; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; orphans: 2; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> </span><strong></strong><em></em><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike><strong></strong><em></em><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike>