结束71年一党执政 财新发文引人遐思

<br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">《财新网》近日登载财新传媒主编王烁的文章,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">向结束71年一党执政的前墨西哥总统致敬。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">大陆《财新网》近日登载财新传媒主编王烁的文章,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">向结束71年一党执政的前墨西哥总统致敬。在&#8220;亡党&#8221;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">话题逐渐走入人们视野的大背景下,《财新网》刊登如此敏感话题,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">背后用意,令人玩味。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">文章在导语就说:现代史上还没有发生过,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">一个政党连续执政71年,然后其总统接受选举结果,和平交权。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">这位总统,就是1994年到2000年期间的墨西哥总统恩斯特&#183;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">塞迪略(Ernsto Zedillo)。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">文章说,塞迪略&#8220;治下有上亿人口、万亿美元GDP,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">上台伊始就得拯救国家于金融危机,幸不辱命,然后学以致用,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">用于扶贫&#8221;。但他&#8220;人生华彩却在退位,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">终结一党连续执政71年未中断的历史&#8221;。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">王烁认为,这般传奇人物,在现代政治史上独一无二。并特意上门&#8220;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">向塞迪略致敬&#8221;。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">在文章的最后,王烁谈到他向塞迪略致敬的原因:&#8220;2000年,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">墨西哥总统大选,塞迪略所在的革命制度党败选,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">输给反对党候选人11个百分点。</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">墨西哥宪法规定总统只有一个任期,塞迪略不能参加竞选,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">但他抢在革命制度党候选人之前,作为执政党的在任总统承认结果,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">锁定大局,终结了革命制度党自1929年以来的连续执政史&#8212;&#8212;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">也被不少党人视为叛徒。&#8221;</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">在&#8220;亡党&#8221;话题逐渐走入人们视野的敏感时刻,《财新网》</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">的这篇文章,引发舆论关注。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">前&#8220;北京大学&#8221;新闻学院副教授焦国标认为,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">王烁的这篇文章传达了一个讯息。焦国标对《希望之声》表示,&#8220;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">他这个文章本身的意思、他表述的思想,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">我觉得是绝大部分中国人的希望。他是传达一个正面的讯息。</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">就是说,他是值得肯定的,而且代表一个方向;一个社会、世界、</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">人类文明的方向。&#8221;</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">中共党史学者、原军院出版社社长辛子陵分析,这篇文章&#8220;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">给读者留下了很大的想像空间。&#8221;辛子陵并提到,目前,中共&#8220;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">政权到了一个崩溃的边缘,跟老百姓的对立那是非常的尖锐,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">要爆发的程度。所以不搞民主改革、</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">不搞政治体制的改革是走不通的。习近平最后会走这一步的;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">但是客观形势也推着他走这一步。不然的话中国是没有前途的,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">再出来个毛泽东想再独裁一把,那不可能的;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">老百姓肯定要把他推翻了。&#8221;</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">就在王烁这篇文章前几日,网络流传一篇署名邱国权的文章《</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">兵棋推演:中共红朝灭亡的N种模式》,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">盘点中共倒台的十种可能情况。其中包括,苏联模式,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">以一个戈尔巴乔夫式的人物,主动在中国进行现代化的政治改革,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">改变中国一党独裁的执政方式,实现和平转型。</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">这一模式成功指数四颗星。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">文章还表示,&#8220;红朝从诞生之日起就对中国人民进行掠夺、残杀。</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">这样的政权不灭亡天理不容!&#8221;&#8220;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">有人曾经给全世界的极权国家算过命:</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">所有极权政权都活不过七十年。&#8221;</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">如果七十年真的是极权国家大限的话,</span><wbr style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;">那么快到七十年大限的中共政权将是即将灭亡的独裁政权。</span><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" /><br style="color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12.8px; background-color: #ffffff;" />